Wednesday, August 30, 2006

Great news!

Some really good news today: Ethnic Karen refugees from Burma who are living in camps in Thailand (in miserable conditions) will be allowed to resettle in the US! Previously they were barred because many of them had provided "material support" to the Karen National Union, a rebel group which fights against the (evil) Burmese government, which put them in violation of the USA Patriot Act.

So there is now a little recognition within the US government that all terrorists are not the same. There are those who rape and murder innocent civilians (aka the bad guys, like Minni Minawi, who I wrote about earlier - why oh why was our government sucking up to him?), and then there are those who fight against oppressive human-rights-abusing governments and leave the civilians alone (aka the good guys).

Maybe there is a little hope for us after all.

Thursday, August 17, 2006

Lebanon: the scorecard

Now that the conflict in Lebanon is pretty much over (and hopefully it will stay that way), I am trying to figure out who won. Or at least who came out on top. Here's what I've come up with so far:

Hezbollah's goal: get some prisoners freed in exchange for the kidnapped Israeli soldiers; damage and embarass Israel.

Israel's goal: get the soldiers back. Drive Hezbollah out of southern Lebanon, if not getting them disarmed completely.

What we ended up with:
- large portions of Lebanon in ruins;
- kidnapped soldiers still kidnapped;
- no prisoners released by Israelis;
- increased status across the Muslim and Arab world for Hezbollah and Nasrallah; but whether they remain popular may depend on how fast rebuilding goes;
- no significant physical damage to Israel
- Israeli population united in support of the war and against Hezbollah and its allies;
- Hezbollah not disarmed or pushed out of southern Lebanon
- increased UN peacekeeping force in southern Lebanon
- world attention focused on Lebanon

So who won? For now it seems to be Hezbollah, but whether it remains that way will probably depend on whether the international community thinks the current stalemate is good enough to call peace, or decides to really, actually disarm Hezbollah. But if there is a serious effort to disarm Hezbollah, what will Syria and Iran do? Guess we'll just have to wait and find out.

Saturday, August 12, 2006

Kim Jong Il: Screenwriter

I just thought this was hilarious: according to Slate, North Korea's Dear Leader hasn't been seen in public much lately because he's busy writing a screenplay called Diary of a Girl Student.

Resurrection of Afghan Ministry for the Promotion of Virtue and Prevention of Vice?

An article today in oneworld.net says that the Afghan Ministry for the Promotion of Virtue and Prevention of Vice is being resurrected. Scary. I haven't seen anything about this in mainstream news - anybody know anything?

Wednesday, August 09, 2006

Tidbits from Darfur

A few funny tidbits I learned recently, from a region that seems to be singularly lacking in anything to laugh about these days:

A break-away faction of the rebel SLA which disagrees with Minni Minawi's faction, which was previously known as the Wahid Faction after its leader, deposed Wahid and is now calling itself "SLA Classic". Are they modeling their marketing strategy after Coca-Cola? (Probably not a bad idea - according to a friend of mine, "Coca-Cola" is the second most recognized word in the world, after "okay").

The bane of aid workers in Darfur is...janjaweed? bandits? no - wait for it.... attack crickets! That's right, folks, apparently Darfur is infested with little crickets that like to jump on people, and when you try to brush them off, they just cling even tighter. I have this image in my head of a person just covered head to toe in attack crickets. Of course if it was me I'd be screaming my head off and running in circles like a chicken with its head cut off. And why do I want to go there?

Monday, August 07, 2006

Minni Minawi bungles DC

I saw a friend over the weekend who works for a non-profit organization that is active in Sudan. According to him, Minawi completely bungled his visit to DC - among other things, he blew off a meeting/press conference at the Holocaust Museum that was supposed to bring attention to the genocide in Darfur (illustrating, once again, that protecting his people is not what Minawi is all about).

And there had been plans on this side of the ocean to funnel money to Minawi's SLM to "promote democracy" or something like that, because Minawi and the SLA had been chosen to play the role of good guys in this fight - because as we all know from watching old Westerns, we much prefer to think of conflicts as good vs. evil, instead of bad guys vs. bad guys. But Minawi bungled it, so no money for him.

Can't say I'm sorry.

A new civil war in Lebanon?

An interesting article in yesterday's online New York Times Magazine: apparently the Lebanese population is much more divided about Hezbollah and the Israeli attacks than the news headlines would leave us to believe - the general impression the news gives is that Lebanese support Hezbollah against Israel, and aren't blaming Hezbollah for starting the conflict. But according to the Magazine article, which was written by a Lebanese-American journalist, the Lebanese are very divided on this - the mostly poor Shiites tend to support Hezbollah, while the more affluent Sunnis, Christians, and other groups don't support Hezbollah, and in fact are blaming it for starting the conflict with Israel and getting their country blown to bits.

The author of the article worries that the tension this is creating between communities (added on top of the destruction of the country and subsequent weakening of the current government by Israel) could lead to a new civil war in Lebanon - the non-Shiite communities are going to want Hezbollah disarmed, the Shiites will resist, and then the other communities will want to resurrect their old militias, which will, of course, immediately start fighting each other.

This is bad. And again, what is Israel thinking??? Does pushing the country on its northern border into another civil war really seem like a great idea?

How's this for an idea, Israel: how about playing nice for once? Instead of trying to kill all the Hezbollah fighters, which is never going to work, how about supporting the creation of a moderate, democratic government in Lebanon (like that one that was just starting to gain traction, until Israel started bombing the country)? How about helping that moderate government provide basic services to all its people, so that poor Shiites won't have to rely on Hezbollah for food or healthcare? Is this really such a novel, extraordinary idea?